Of course, Punxsutawney[旁苏托尼镇] Phil's prediction is no more able to guarantee[保证] the extended forecast than your local weatherman. ABC News reports that an analysis by the National Climate Data Center found that Phil's predictions are more often wrong than right.
Phil is also found of gloomy[悲观的] predictions. Ever since 1887, he has predicted 99 extended winters and just 16 early springs. Nine of the year's predictions were unavailable[无效的], according to ABC.